A/HRC/27/60
Annex II
[English only]
Political context
1.
Despite the efforts of the previous Joint Special Representative (JSR) Lakhdar
Brahimi, a political stalemate continued to impede progress towards a negotiated solution.
The Geneva 2 talks, which took place between 22 and 31 January 2014, failed to bridge the
diametrically opposed positions of the Government and the National Coalition for
Revolutionary and Opposition Forces (the Coalition). The Government continued to
prioritise the fight against terrorism while the Coalition demanded immediate engagement
on modalities for the transitional period. Brahimi’s official resignation on 13 May has
further complicated the prospect of bringing the parties back to the negotiating table. On 10
July, Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon appointed Special Envoy Staffan de Mistura in a bid
to revive the political process.
2.
The likelihood of a political solution was further weakened by the results of the
Syrian presidential elections held on 3 June, with President Assad reportedly winning 88%
of the vote, and the gradual yet consistent military gains made by Government forces in
certain areas. The Government has become politically and militarily entrenched and is,
consequently, less likely to engage in a political process. The Coalition had categorically
rejected the elections while President Assad portrayed them as a measure of legitimacy.
The presidential inauguration on 16 July drew further regional and international criticism,
including from the EU and the US. Russia and Iran stressed that the election results have
reinforced President Assad’s authority and reflected his popular base of support.
3.
The Coalition continued to suffer from internal divisions. Against the backdrop of
competing interests of regional and international actors which provide military and
financial support, divisions were particularly evident in the lead-up to the election of its
current president, Hadi al-Bahra, on 9 July. While still representing the largest political
umbrella for the Syrian opposition abroad, the Coalition continues to struggle to establish
reliable links with local military councils and other, predominantly Islamist, forces inside
the Syrian Arab Republic. Recent conflicts within the Coalition’s Supreme Military
Council – intended to represent various ‘moderate’ military factions – are symptomatic of
this disconnect.
4.
Influential states continue to provide financial and military support to the various
warring parties in the Syrian Arab Republic, reinforcing the existing political and military
impasse. Significant changes in the conflict dynamics, however, have altered the regional
and international approach towards the Syrian conflict. The emergence of ISIS as a potent
military force, both in the Syrian Arab Republic and Iraq, has increased States’ caution,
particularly in terms of supplying military aid to armed groups. Fears have arisen that any
supplied weapons may be used by ISIS. The continued military and political fragmentation
of the opposition has markedly reduced its overall effectiveness and compromised the trust
of its regional and international backers.
5.
With ISIS representing a regional and international threat, many States have shifted
their priorities towards limiting its influence and preventing any potential spillover.
Fighting extremism has become a common cause for States with otherwise conflicting
interests, potentially signalling further changes in Governments’ policies towards the
conflict.
6.
The Security Council issued resolution 2165 (2014) on humanitarian cross-border
aid on 15 July. Despite consensus on the grave violations being committed inside the Syrian
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