A/HRC/27/60
A.
Government forces
10.
Government forces3 made slow but significant advances in most strategic areas. In
key governorates, including Rif Damascus, Homs and Aleppo, they shrunk opposition-held
territories and severed their lines of communication. Direct confrontations with the Islamic
State of Iraq and Al-Sham (ISIS), however, are rare and mostly limited to sporadic air
strikes in Ar Raqqah, Aleppo and Dayr az Zawr governorates.
11.
The capacity of Government forces has been enhanced through significant
organizational, strategic and tactical readjustments. The Government is increasingly
capable of massing all elements of military power during offensive operations targeting
priority objectives. It succeeded in holding positions in governorates where it is unable or
unwilling to conduct offensives, such as Idlib and Dara’a. As part of its strategy for
controlling the population, it has combined long-lasting sieges with heavy aerial and
artillery bombardment, leading to dozens of forced truces in Homs and Damascus and the
surrounding countryside. Forced truces, a mark of the Government’s strategy of siege and
bombardment, are often followed by mass arrests of men of fighting age, many of whom
disappear.
12.
The Government continues to rely on technical, training and logistical assistance
provided by external allies. Government forces recently experienced shortages of combat
manpower as Iraqi militia returned to fight in Iraq, which curtailed their ability to
simultaneously deploy troops on multiple fronts.
B.
Non-State armed groups
1.
Anti-Government armed groups
13.
Armed groups have been simultaneously engaged on multiple fronts fighting
Government forces, ISIS and among themselves. Lacking the necessary combat
capabilities, they failed to reverse their adversaries’ advances in areas previously part of
their major strongholds in Rif Damascus, eastern Aleppo and Dayr az Zawr governorates.
Weakened by infighting, they have suffered large defections to ISIS owing to the latter’s
superior financial and operational capabilities.
14.
Military successes in Dara’a and Idlib governorates underscored some armed
groups’ ability to prevent the Government from regaining full control over territory. In
most of those victories, armed groups labelled as moderate continued to operate under ad
hoc operation rooms, closely coordinating with extremist groups, including the Al-Qaidaaffiliated Jabhat al-Nusra.
15.
Divisions and rivalries prevented insurgents from increasing their operational
effectiveness. Despite multiple restructuring initiatives, they failed to integrate under a
cohesive structure and leadership owing to ideological, political, tribal and personal
divergences. Efforts by external backers to reinforce the so-called “vetted moderate armed
opposition” failed to reverse the dominance of radical armed groups.
2.
Islamic State of Iraq and Al-Sham
16.
Recent gains by ISIS in Iraq boosted its military capabilities, seriously affecting the
power balance inside the Syrian Arab Republic, both materially and psychologically. Far
3
4
“Government forces”, unless specified otherwise, comprise the Syrian Armed Forces, intelligence
forces and associated foreign and local militias, including Hezbollah, the shabbiha and the popular
Committees/National Defence Forces.
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