A/HRC/28/59
mutually sustaining interaction between loyalty and repression, but there are also trade-offs,
depending on the target of the strategies.14 Both tactics require that Governments possess
sufficient economic resources. The national economy, and more specifically the State
budget, must support an effective system to buy loyalty or ensure repression.
20.
Loyalties can be acquired through (targeted) economic benefits that can consist of
resource transfers, subsidies, tariff protections and regulations that guarantee profits,
employment and consumption. At the same time, public finance and repressive
expenditures should be considered: the budget allocation and bureaucratic apparatus will
reflect, to some extent, the repressive capacity and policy of the regime. The loyalty of the
military, police or secret services in controlling or repressing opponents are imperative
priorities for autocratic regimes that rule mainly through violence. Consequently, global
data confirm that autocratic regimes frequently increase military budgets and often
overcompensate the military police and other officials who control instruments of violence
and coercion.15 Indeed, military expenditures used to strengthen the coercive capacity of the
regime and its stability,16 have been found to contribute strongly to a country’s external
debt burden.17
21.
It is true that Governments can frequently sustain themselves by taxes, income
generated by investments, trade in commodities and other internal revenue, allowing them
to buy key loyalties and fund agencies of repression, but sovereign financing may
frequently be crucial for maintaining autocratic rule and overcoming critical periods of
dissent or economic downturns. With a longer time horizon in mind, it is reasonable to
expect that external actors who contribute financially to the regular functioning of a regime
that violates human rights are helping to consolidate it. Sovereign financing may assist it in
attaining its principal feature: retaining power, either through the acquisition and
maintenance of key loyalties, or the use of coercion to minimize and marginalize dissident
voices. In many authoritarian regimes, the majority of the population remain in a situation
of exclusion or dependency, unable to improve their condition or the way they are ruled,
fearful that dissent may result in discrimination, torture or death. Freedom of association
and assembly are limited, so that dissident voices cannot organize collectively or call for
changes. Sovereign financing may serve to further uphold that status quo.
22.
As money is fungible, funds lent or granted to a regime committing gross human
rights violations might of course also be spent in a beneficial way. However, there are
several reasons why such economic support may not be in the long-term interest of the
population.
14
15
16
17
8
See Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson, Economic Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy
(New York, Cambridge University Press, 2005); Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and others, The Logic of
Political Survival (Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press, 2003); Ronald Wintrobe, The
Political Economy of Dictatorship (Cambridge University Press, 1998).
See Justin Conrad, “Narrow interests and military resource allocation in autocratic regimes”, Journal
of Peace Research, vol. 50, No. 6 (November 2013). Specifically for military expenditures by Latin
American dictatorships, see Thomas Scheetz, “The evolution of public sector expenditures: changing
political priorities in Argentina, Chile, Paraguay and Peru”, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 29, No. 2
(May 1992).
See Michael Albertus and Victor Menaldo, “Coercive capacity and the prospects for
democratization”, Comparative Politics, vol. 44, No. 2 (January 2012).
See, among others Robert E. Looney, “The influence of arms imports on Third World debt”, Journal
of Developing Areas, vol. 3, No. 2 (January 1989); John Dunne, Samuel Perlo-Freeman and Aylin
Soydan, “Military expenditure and debt in small industrialised economies: a panel analysis”, Defence
and Peace Economics, vol. 15, No. 2 (2004); Russell Smyth and Paresh Kumar Narayan, “A panel
data analysis of the military expenditure-external debt nexus: evidence from six Middle Eastern
Countries”, Journal of Peace Research, vol. 46, No. 2 (March 2009).
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