A/HRC/10/30
page 5
I. INTRODUCTION
1.
The present report is submitted pursuant to Human Rights Council resolution 7/25, in
which the Council requested the Secretary-General to report on the efforts of the United Nations
system to prevent genocide and on the activities of the Special Adviser. It follows an initial
report submitted to the Commission on Human Rights (E/CN.4/2006/84) and a subsequent report
to the Council (A/HRC/7/37).
II. STRENGTHENING THE PREVENTION OF GENOCIDE
A. Determining the risk of genocide: framework of analysis
2.
Determining whether there may be a risk of genocide early enough to allow for prevention
has proved to be one of the most challenging tasks confronting the United Nations. While some
aspects of the problem involve the political responses of States Members of the United Nations,1
others involve the information collection, analysis and early warning function for which the
mandate of the Special Adviser on the Prevention of Genocide was specifically created. Building
upon the work of his predecessor, the human rights field experience of United Nations staff and
studies by the community of genocide scholars, the office of the Special Adviser has developed a
framework of analysis to help identify situations that may lead to genocide. The framework can
be understood as asking analysts to consider eight core questions organized in roughly
chronological order (in accordance with the increasing imminence of genocide), as well as in an
order of the likely availability and clarity of information (initial questions will be easier to
answer).
3.
Question one asks whether there is a national, ethnic, racial or religious group(s) as such a prerequisite for genocide to be possible - and then asks whether the group or groups are
vulnerable to genocide and, if so, why.
4.
Question two asks whether there are past or ongoing discriminations and/or other human
rights violations against the group. An accurate understanding of a population group’s past and
present human rights situation is useful in determining the risk faced by a group and its current
situation. It also points to the kinds of structural human rights reforms that need to be undertaken
to reduce the risk of genocide.
5.
Question three considers circumstances that negatively affect domestic capacity to prevent
genocide. Analysis requires consideration of what structural and institutional frameworks exist in
the country - including domestic legislation, an independent judiciary and an effective police
force - to protect people from genocide, and the extent to which domestic capacity is specifically
protecting vulnerable groups. Analysis would also take into consideration factors such as
illiteracy or geographic isolation that make it difficult for a vulnerable population group to
benefit from a domestic protection capacity. Addressing these weaknesses through measures to
address impunity and strengthen the judiciary and law enforcement are essential to the
prevention of genocide.
1
See S/1999/1257.
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