A/HRC/28/69
a localized freeze of hostilities in Aleppo city. It emphasizes a bottom-up approach to
resolving the conflict through the reinforcement of localized agreements that can be
replicated on a larger scale, facilitating a gradual transition towards a wider political
solution. No specific plan has been presented to date, but success of the Aleppo freeze will
be a litmus test for the success of this model in other areas.
115. While a gradual transition with solid confidence-building measures could reduce
hostilities locally and improve humanitarian conditions, it will ultimately need to address a
longer-term perspective. Although the Geneva communiqué provided an framework for a
political settlement, contentious issues remain, including the scope and nature of the
opposition’s representation in any transitional arrangement. President Assad’s role in the
transitional phase remains a deeply contentious issue among the parties. These aspects must
be addressed before a lasting agreement can be seriously contemplated.
B.
Involvement of external actors
116. Beyond the internal escalation, triggered in March 2011 by the Government’s
excessive use of force against largely unarmed protests, several external actors have
contributed to the militarization process that transformed the unrest into a brutal civil war.
1.
Involvement of influential States on both sides of the conflict
117. Since the uprising began, some States have endeavoured to influence the conduct of
various parties according to their geopolitical interests. Their support extended to the
financial and military realms, giving the warring parties, though unequally, the required
capabilities to escalate or at least maintain their engagement. In particular, countries in the
region are competing for influence over the belligerents, gradually transforming the Syrian
crisis into a regional contest.
118. Critical financial and military assistance injected by different States into the conflict
has fuelled the warring parties’ unwillingness to compromise as they continued to believe
that they could prevail militarily. The limited efforts of the international community to
restore peace and stability in the region have been jeopardized by some States’ continuous
support for the parties, to the advantage of hard-liners on all sides.
119. The consistent support provided to the Government by its international backers, in
terms of military equipment, advice and training, encouraged it to persist in its military and
security approach based on the excessive use of force. Such support enabled it to adjust the
posture, capabilities and structure of its forces to asymmetric fighting against the escalating
armed violence.
120. States supporting the opposition have also provided various groups and coalitions
with lethal and non-lethal military equipment. Owing to self-imposed restrictions, the scale
and policy of this support never gave these groups the required capabilities to seriously
challenge government forces in the medium and long terms. Despite all the precautions
allegedly taken by the States steering the process, the support given to the so-called
“moderates” has ultimately consolidated the dominance of extremist groups such as ISIS
and Jabhat Al-Nusra, which managed to overrun the positions of moderates and to gain
loyalties among their ranks.
2.
Involvement of non-State actors from neighbouring States
121. Several non-State actors from States in the region have participated in the war either
through the direct deployment of their forces or by the provision of logistical and financial
support to one side or the other. Their entry has been facilitated by the porosity of large
parts of the Syrian borders.
18
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