A/HRC/10/30 page 7 analysis, not a precise predictive tool. It nevertheless serves as an indicator of the kind of information that is needed when predicting possible genocide, the evolution of a situation, the imminence of a risk of genocide and the kind of solutions that may be required. The framework is now being used by the office of the Special Adviser to analyse situations of concern, and will be used in the future as a training tool to help other United Nations departments with monitoring capacity to predict situations of possible genocide. Its effectiveness will be reviewed at the end of 2009. B. Promotion of the law 12. In 2008, the Special Adviser and his staff consulted with experts in international law and the prevention of genocide with a view to identifying innovative ways of employing relevant international law for prevention. One result of the consultations was the launching of a project to match the criteria of the above-mentioned framework of analysis with relevant provisions of international law. In this way, the office of the Special Adviser hopes to create a stronger link between international law and the prevention of genocide, even where the law itself makes no reference to genocide and might not normally be associated with this crime. It is hoped that the project will result in the packaging of a diverse range of legal provisions from different international legal instruments which, together, will provide detailed guidance on the range of legal provisions that need to be respected in order to prevent genocide. In addition, such a package would also serve as a useful analytical tool through which to examine a series of violations in a State and to estimate the extent to which the composite effect of those violations may in fact be leading to the crime of genocide. While it remains a vital legal instrument, the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide does not itself provide this kind of detailed guidance. C. The responsibility to protect 13. In the 2005 World Summit Outcome document, the General Assembly agreed on the concept of the responsibility to protect populations from genocide, war crimes, ethnic cleansing and crimes against humanity.2 On 21 February 2008, the Secretary-General announced the appointment of Edward Luck as his Special Adviser to develop ideas relating to the responsibility to protect and to assist the Assembly to continue consideration of the concept. Over the course of 2008, through a process of consultation with States, United Nations departments and civil society, the Special Adviser developed a series of proposals. In particular, he reviewed the considerable overlap between the scope and objectives of the responsibility to protect and those of the Five-Point Action Plan3 to prevent genocide and of the mandate of the Special Adviser. 2 3 General Assembly resolution 60/1, paras. 138-139. See E/CN.4/2006/84. The points are: (a) preventing armed conflict; (b) protection of civilians in armed conflict; (c) ending impunity through judicial action in both national and international courts; (d) early and clear warning of situations that could potentially degenerate into genocide and the development of a United Nations capacity to analyse and manage information; and (e) swift and decisive action along a continuum of steps.

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