A/HRC/45/32 f) Manifestations religieuses ou actes réels ou perçus comme tels d’intolérance religieuse ou d’irrespect, notamment en dehors des frontières nationales ; g) Actes d’incitation ou propagande haineuse visant des groupes ou des personnes particulières ; h) Recensement, élections, activités essentielles liées à ces processus ou mesures qui les déstabilisent ; i) Changements soudains affectant l’économie ou la population active, résultant notamment de crises financières, de catastrophes naturelles ou d’épidémies ; j) Découverte de ressources naturelles ou lancement de projets d’exploitation ayant de graves incidences sur les moyens de subsistance et la viabilité de groupes ou de populations civiles ; k) Commémoration de crimes du passé ou d’épisodes traumatiques ou historiques pouvant exacerber les tensions entre groupes, notamment la glorification d’auteurs d’atrocités ; l) Actes liés aux processus d’établissement des responsabilités, en particulier s’ils sont perçus comme injustes. Version anglaise Risk factor 1. Situations of armed conflict or other forms of instability (a) International or non-international armed conflict; (b) Security crisis caused by, among other factors, defection from peace agreements, armed conflict in neighboring countries, threats of external interventions or acts of terrorism; (c) Humanitarian crisis or emergency, including those caused by natural disasters or epidemics; (d) Political instability caused by abrupt or irregular regime change or transfer of power; (e) Political instability caused by disputes over power or growing nationalist, armed or radical opposition movements; (f) Political tension caused by autocratic regimes or severe political repression; (g) Economic instability caused by scarcity of resources or disputes over their use or exploitation; (h) Economic instability caused by severe crisis in the national economy; (i) Economic instability caused by acute poverty, mass unemployment or deep horizontal inequalities; (j) Social instability caused by resistance to, or mass protests against, State authority or policies; (k) Social instability caused by exclusion or tensions based on identity issues, their perception or extremist forms. Risk factor 2. Record of serious violations of international human rights and humanitarian law (a) Past or present serious restrictions to or violations of international human rights and humanitarian law, particularly if assuming an early pattern of conduct and if targeting protected groups, populations or individuals; (b) Past acts of genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes or their incitement; (c) Policy or practice of impunity for or tolerance of serious violations of international human rights and humanitarian law, of atrocity crimes, or of their incitement; 50 GE.20-10689